Recent papers on credit risk and related topics.

Title Author(s) Year Paper
No 2026/03 |Disentangling Environmental and Economic Risks in Mortgage Default: A Spatio-Temporal Modelling and Stress-Testing Framework with Capital Implications Viani B. Djeundje, Jonathan Crook, Galina Andreeva 2026 Download Abstract (PDF) , Download Paper (PDF)
No 2026/02 | How High Does Your Gini Need to Be? Deriving Minimum Scorecard Discrimination from Business KPIs Minh Tran, MaiNguyen 2026 Download Abstract (PDF) , Download Paper (PDF)
No 2026/01 | The Simple Mathematics of Large Language Models Joseph L. Breeden 2026 Download Paper (PDF)
No 2025/02 | A Novel Dynamic Ensemble Learning (DEL) Framework to Combat The Dataset Shift: The Case of Loss Given Default Junfeng Zhang , Galina Andreeva, Yizhe Dong 2025 Download Paper (PDF)
No 2025/01 | Are ESG Responsible Companies Loss Responsible? Modelling LGD with ESG Information Junfeng Zhang, Galina Andreeva, Yizhe Dong 2025 Download Paper (PDF)
No. 2024/07 |Which households are credit constrained in Europe? Jonathan Crook 2024 Download Paper (PDF)
No. 2024/06 | Unavoidable Model Risk in Expected Credit Loss models under IFRS9 and CECL Alan Forrest 2024 Download Paper (PDF)
No. 2024/05 | The menopause transition and the gender gap in entrepreneurship Louise Rowllings 2024 Download Abstract (PDF) , Download Paper (PDF)
No. 2024/04 | A Theory of Borrowers Joseph L. Breeden 2024 Download Paper (PDF)
No. 2024/03 | Navigating dynamic financial risk: a latent Markov approach to safeguard vulnerable consumers in Open Banking Rui Ying Goh, Galina Andreeva, Yi Cao 2024 Download Paper (PDF)
No. 2024/02 | Unleashing the power of text for credit default prediction: Comparing human generated and AI-generated texts Zongxiao Wu, Yizhe Dong, Yaoyiran Lib, Baofeng Shic 2024 Download Paper (PDF)
No. 2024/01 | Model Shift and Model Risk Management Alan Forrest 2024 Download Paper (PDF)
No. 2023/02 | Volatility prediction via interpretable models through the lens of vulnerability: an application to Open Banking Rui Ying Goh, Galina Andreeva and Yi Cao 2023 Download Paper (PDF)
No. 2023/01 | The Double-Edged Sword of Big Data and Information Technology for the Disadvantaged: A Cautionary Tale from Open Banking Savina D. Kim, Galina Andreeva, and Michael Rovatsos 2023 Download Paper (PDF)